The Business of Making Money with Horses
By
Don Blazer, taught by Eleanor Blazer
Lesson Five
Claiming to Make a Profit
If you think you can claim a race
horse for $5,000 and move it up to a $20,000 race, or claim for $25,000 and
move into allowance or stakes company, race horses
won’t make you any money.
Change your thinking. You are dreaming, not scheming. Dreams do come true, but not often enough to
insure a comfortable living.
You’ve got to scheme—it’s the only
way to make money with claiming horses.
First, learn to think as a smart
trainer, then claim cheap, race cheap and lose the horse cheap. The behavior of other trainers is what will
make you money.
The statistics prove this premise,
whether or not you wish to believe it.
You can make money only if you are
cold, calculating and ruthless. You must
steel yourself for a rough time, and you must be willing to try, try and try
again.
Claiming horses are horses someone
(trainers, maybe not the owners) wants to sell.
By setting a claiming (selling) price on a horse, a trainer or owner
establishes a level at which the horse supposedly can compete and win.
Most often the horses are worth less
than their claiming price, which is an arbitrary figure used as a guide to
bring horses into a race with other horses of equal ability and value. Frequently you can buy the horse at the barn
for less than his established claiming price.
You can claim (buy) a horse in a race
if you hold a valid owner’s license, have a trainer and either have a permit to
claim, or have a horse currently racing at the meet. Once you qualify, all you do is follow the rules
by filing out a claiming slip completely and accurately, depositing the money
(no personal checks) with the paymaster of purses and dropping the claim slip
within the allotted time period. If the
starting gate opens properly, and the horse you’ve claimed leaves the gate, he
or she is yours from that moment on—win, lose, or draw, sore sound, or broken
down. If your claim is the only claim
and is approved by the stewards, the horse is yours. If others have made a claim for the same
horse, there will be a drawing immediately after the race among the claimants,
and the winner will be given a pickup slip by the paddock judge. The paddock judge will also give a slip to
the former trainer of the horse telling that trainer to deliver the horse to
the new owner. Usually a claimed horse
will be sent to the receiving barn for drug testing, and you, or your groom or
your trainer, will pick the horse up there.
Some tracks do not test all claimed horses and have specific areas where
the horses are “haltered” by the new owners.
There are a number of other
regulations about claiming, all but one of which can be disregarded at
present. The regulation to keep in mind
is that in many states, you are required to race your purchase during the next
30 days at a claiming price at least 25 per cent higher than that at which you
claimed the horse. It’s a move up the
claiming ladder. It is what almost
everyone wants to do.
Don’t plan on doing it.
It’s so hard to do,
trainers call this “being in jail.”
You may choose to run the horse at
the higher price (example: if you claimed for $5,000, you must race during the
next 30 days for a price of at least $6,250) just to learn about the horse, or
to keep the horse fit without additional work outs. But running at a higher claiming price will
be a learning experience only once.
After that it will be a losing situation.
The horse may run well at the higher
price, and even place. But it won’t
last, and it won’t make you money.
Instead of dreaming, believe the forthcoming statistics; they
demonstrate vividly how the cards are stacked against you. However, they also contain the secret for
success.
And keep in mind this is horse
racing, and horses are they key. A horse
which wins 25 per cent of the time for one trainer will most likely win 25 per
cent of the time for you. A horse which
only wins one race in 12 will probably only win one race in 12 for you. Horses are horses are horses, and no matter
what trainers tell you about how good they are, the horses are the key.
Data gathered during a 99-day Quarter
Horse meeting at Los Alamitos in
Good claim or bad, the trainer gets
paid his day fee, which is why, when asked about a poor performer in his barn,
a trainer may reply, off the record, “He’s better than an empty stall.”
There were 242 claims made during the
race meeting being used as an example.
They were all recorded, including 19 horses which were claimed twice,
and Miss Tripoli, which was claimed three times. Tracing all of them during the next six
months was impossible, since some were sent to other tracks, retired, or used
for purposes other than racing. Some of
the ones which could be accounted for six months later are listed, showing
their earnings since being claimed and their current claiming price. The sample (Chart A) is adequate to show
trends.
The first pattern which develops from this history of claimers is that
although some may run well at a higher claiming price for awhile, the majority
tend to drift downward. In six months,
75 per cent are running at the same price, or lower than originally claimed. Of the 25 per cent still running for more
than the original claim price, there is no guarantee they will earn money, will
be claimed at the higher price, or could be sold for the higher price. Running at a higher price does not mean
earning money.
The facts explode another myth—that
certain trainers can locate a horse’s problems, then improve him so he goes on
to be a great champion. The record shows
only three trainers actually showed a profit, and that
modest, on their claims. Several
consistently lost value with their claims, and none improved their new horses
spectacularly.
Chart A
lists 28 horses. If an owner paid a
trainer an average of $1,000 per month to train, care for, shoe, medicate and
race a horse, then the horses listed would have had to earn $6,000 just to
break even during the six months following their claim. Only five of 28, or 18 per cent, did that.
CHART A
Partial Listing of Claims
242 claims,
28 listed, for 12.6% representation
|
NAME |
CLAIM |
EARNINGS
SINCE |
CURRENT
CLAIMING |
|
|
|
CLAIMED |
PRICE |
1 |
Kimala |
5,000 |
3,000 |
8,000 |
2 |
Swiss Ban |
3,000 |
3,000 |
3,000 |
3 |
Dos Rojos |
10,000 |
2,200 |
6,250 |
4 |
Savan Dev |
7,500 |
4,000 |
12,000 |
5 |
Bright Poli |
3,000 |
500 |
Claimed 3,000 |
6 |
Shake Kid |
10,000 |
300 |
5,000 |
7 |
St. Blach |
15,000 |
1,400 |
8,000 |
8 |
Beat The Band |
4,000 |
1,000 |
3,200 |
9 |
Make A B |
10,000 |
4,000 |
12,000 |
10 |
Pay the N |
7,500 |
3,500 |
6,000 |
11 |
Hey Doc |
5,000 |
1,400 |
4,000 |
12 |
Got the Ca |
4,000 |
6,800* |
12,000 |
13 |
Racin Fever |
4,000 |
1,200 |
3,200 |
14 |
Lil Ranch |
8,250 |
1,000 |
5,000 |
15 |
Fiery Com |
5,000 |
5,200 |
5,000 |
16 |
Papa La Ru |
12,500 |
10,000* |
10,000 |
17 |
Mypawas |
10,000 |
3,000 |
Allowance |
18 |
Wanyo |
5,000 |
3,200 |
12,500 |
19 |
Triumphant |
10,000 |
6,700* |
12,000 |
20 |
Bright Polic |
3,000 |
4,200 |
3,200 |
21 |
Fair Brandy |
5,000 |
2,700 |
8,000 |
22 |
Grove Line |
7,500 |
10,000 |
Claimed 8,000 |
23 |
Shake Kid S |
5,000 |
12,500* |
8,000 |
24 |
Him a Injun |
8,500 |
900 |
12,000 |
25 |
Pal and Pal |
10,000 |
3,300 |
10,000 |
26 |
Sheckys Im |
12,500 |
2,500 |
8,000 |
27 |
Diala Six |
12,500 |
2,840 |
Allowance |
28 |
Star |
8,250 |
4,400 |
12,500 |
|
Totals |
211,000 |
104,740 |
222,350 |
|
Average |
7,535 |
3,740 |
7,941 |
|
|
|
* Shows Profit |
|
Analysis of Chart A reinforces the
conclusion that claiming is a business for trainers.
(It is possible for you to become a
trainer. It is not hard to do. Training race horses does not take a genius. If you want to make money with claimers,
becoming a trainer to eliminate some of the daily expenses is worth
consideration.)
The first trend (which is not shown)
is that 82 per cent of the horses claimed were geldings. This is consistent with the fact that
approximately 83 per cent of the horses in mixed claiming races are
geldings. As geldings are good only for
racing, this insures the trainer will have horses to train; they will not be
taken away to the breeding farm.
While the five horses earning their
keep did not earn a big profit, they didn’t lose money. That’s not bad. It’s good.
Because if the owners of other claimers had followed
the rules, they very will may have earned profits also. In any case, the 18 per cent which made money
demonstrates potential. You’ll see how
very soon.
Three trainers did make a profit on
their claims. Interestingly, those
trainers did not claim for an owner, but instead, claimed for themselves. At the very least, this would indicate when a
trainer finds a good claim, he takes it for himself. For an owner, a trainer claims rather
indiscriminately. (Remember, I said you
had to be cold, calculating, and ruthless.
I’ll also give you another rule to live by when claiming—use the guides
in this book, not the trainer’s judgment.)
Now for potential.
Only two-year-olds have big
potential. They have big money handicaps
and stakes ahead. But there are few
races with an inexpensive claiming tag for two-year-olds. Owners always tend to hope their horses will
become the fastest on the grounds, even though the horses have proven they will
not; therefore, since hope springs eternal, owners do not want to lose horses
for a cheap claiming price.
However, when a maiden two-year-old
is dropped to the bottom claiming price, has not had more than three races,
shows at least one good speed index or some good works, he or she is a prospect
to claim.
With only works to judge the horse,
or less than four races, it is a pretty safe bet
neither the owner, trainer, nor jockey has a true idea of the horse’s future
ability. In addition, a horse at the
bottom as a two-year-old is not at the bottom as a three-year-old. (For race horses, the three-year-old year is
the easiest, since they can run in races for 3-year-olds only and in restricted
races: non-winners of two, non-winners since a certain date, fillies only,
etc.)
Most two-year-olds tend to improve
with practice and age. It is only the
starts which win the first time out, or overcome minor mistakes to run an
excellent race. Most good, solid horses
develop as they go along. In addition,
with only three or less races, the chances are fair the horse is still
relatively sound. (Sore shins are most
common problem and that can be managed.)
Two-year-olds with slow works, slow
speed indexes, more than three races without a win and currently not racing
against the very best, are not good claims if you intend to make money. Don’t claim them.
Three-year-olds are a good
claim only at the beginning of the year.
Three-year-olds with less than six months of racing left are poor
claims. Very soon they’ll be racing with
older horses, and that most often squeezes their earning potential. Don’t claim from this category.
But, if you’re interested in a
three-year-old, it must have at least six months of racing left as well as meet
all the other rules for claiming.
Older horses, four and up, seldom
make money for an owner. They are a good
claim to keep a trainer in business because they at least produce “day
money”. See Chart B. Only claim older horses which win at least 25
per cent of the time.
From Chart B, several interesting
patterns emerge. The figures are
accurate, while the patterns are logical conclusions drawn from those
figure. (It is impossible to know the
actual thoughts behind the claims.)
Twenty-nine trainers claimed 57
horses. Only 12 of the claims made
money—21 per cent of the total. Four of
the claims were for the trainers, so that reduces the owner’s money-making
percentage to only 14 per cent.
CHART B
Analysis
of Claims by Trainer
|
NAME |
CLAIMED
FOR |
PRICE |
EARNINGS |
CURRENT
CLAIMING |
|
|
|
|
SINCE
CLAIMED |
PRICE |
1 |
Brittos |
other |
8,250 |
1,000 |
5,000 |
2 |
|
other |
10,000 |
4,000 |
12,000 |
3 |
Cooper |
other |
7,500 |
800 |
4,000 |
4 |
Cooper |
other |
10,000 |
2,200 |
6,250 |
5 |
Cooper |
other |
5,000 |
5,200 |
6,250 |
6 |
Cooper |
other |
10,000 |
6,700* |
12,000 |
7 |
Cooper |
other |
15,000 |
9,000* |
16,000 |
8 |
Cooper |
other |
12,500 |
2,500 |
8,000 |
9 |
Domingu |
other |
4,000 |
2,400 |
4,000 |
10 |
Francisco |
self |
3,000 |
4,200 |
3,200 |
11 |
Francisco |
other |
7,500 |
3,500 |
6,000 |
12 |
Frey |
other |
4,000 |
1,200 |
3,200 |
13 |
Greenslat |
other |
5,000 |
3,200 |
5,000 |
14 |
Hall |
other |
5,000 |
2,200 |
6,000 |
15 |
Hall |
other |
5,000 |
4,800 |
10,000 |
16 |
Hart |
other |
7,500 |
4,300 |
3,200 |
17 |
Hart |
other |
8,250 |
600 |
6,250 |
18 |
Hart |
other |
7,500 |
7,200* |
16,000 |
19 |
Hart |
other |
8,250 |
4,400 |
5,000 |
20 |
Hart |
other |
7,500 |
11,400* |
12,000 |
21 |
Hart |
other |
5,000 |
1,400 |
4,000 |
22 |
Halloway |
other |
7,500 |
4,000 |
12,000 |
23 |
Halloway |
other |
10,000 |
300 |
5,000 |
24 |
Halloway |
other |
12,500 |
1,400 |
8,000 |
25 |
|
other |
3,000 |
3,000 |
3,000 |
26 |
|
other |
5,000 |
500 |
5,000 |
27 |
Jones |
other |
3,000 |
5,300 |
3,000 |
28 |
Lopez |
self |
12,500 |
10,000* |
10,000 |
29 |
Lopez |
self |
5,000 |
10,000* |
8,000 |
30 |
Maldonat |
other |
15,000 |
4,700 |
12,500 |
31 |
Maldonat |
other |
10,000 |
8,200* |
16,000 |
32 |
Olemach |
other |
8,500 |
900 |
12,000 |
33 |
Pisciotta |
other |
10,000 |
2,600 |
6,250 |
34 |
Proctor |
self |
3,000 |
5,200 |
5,000 |
35 |
Rothblu |
other |
7,500 |
10,000* |
10,000 |
36 |
Rothblu |
other |
4,000 |
300 |
4,000 |
37 |
Rothblu |
other |
12,000 |
2,800 |
Maiden |
38 |
Schvanev |
other |
10,000 |
3,300 |
10,000 |
39 |
Steinmiller |
other |
5,000 |
6,500* |
4,000 |
40 |
Steinmiller |
other |
4,000 |
3,100 |
4,000 |
41 |
Steinmiller |
other |
6,250 |
3,700 |
10,000 |
42 |
Steinmiller |
other |
4,000 |
1,000 |
3,000 |
43 |
Stokes |
other |
3,000 |
2,400 |
5,000 |
44 |
Vischer |
other |
5,000 |
2,200 |
5,000 |
45 |
Vischer |
self |
5,000 |
6,400* |
6,250 |
46 |
Welch |
other |
3,500 |
4,600 |
4,000 |
47 |
Wells |
other |
5,000 |
3,000 |
8,000 |
48 |
|
other |
5,000 |
3,800 |
4,000 |
49 |
Wimber |
other |
3,000 |
500 |
3,000 |
50 |
Wenzel |
self |
4,000 |
6,800* |
12,000 |
51 |
Wenzel |
self |
5,000 |
2,700 |
8,000 |
52 |
Wenzel |
self |
20,000 |
5,600 |
25,000 |
53 |
Woodho |
other |
10,000 |
3,000 |
stakes |
54 |
Woodho |
other |
8,250 |
2,800 |
6,250 |
55 |
Woodho |
other |
15,000 |
11,700* |
16,000 |
56 |
Wood |
other |
8,500 |
600 |
12,000 |
57 |
Wood |
other |
8,500 |
2,800 |
12,000 |
|
|
|
|
* Shows Profit |
|
Of the eight claims which made money
for the owners, all were part of several claims made by that trainer. When all the claims for that trainer were
combined, none showed an overall profit.
On the other hand, a claim made by a
trainer for himself is practically risk free.
The trainer doesn’t have the high overhead of an owner. The claim provides the trainer with a horse
to run, and as the trainer normally runs the horse one step below the original
claim price, he stands to make a little money, even if he loses the horse.
Don’t let Chart B give you the
impression all trainers exercise poor judgment in claiming for owners, or that
trainers don’t know how to make good claims.
What Chart B doesn’t explain is that many of the claims were probably
insisted upon by owners, even when the trainer recommended against the
claim. Sometimes following a claim,
owners refuse to allow the trainer to make money with the new horse because the
owner won’t let the horse run at the original claiming price or lower. Also, many claims are made to get the horse
as a broodmare prospect. The horse may
run again at a very high price with the prayer she’ll increase her earnings a
bit without the possibility of being taken.
This is foolish, but is done quite often. Usually the mare could be purchased outright
for less than the claiming price. And
most often she doesn’t make money at the higher claiming level.
Some claims lose money just on bad
luck—injuries being the most common.
Study Chart B and you will see that
Cooper claimed six horses which earned $26,000 in six months, less an estimated
$36,000 in training expenses in six months, for a loss of $10,000 in the six
month period. Trainer Hart claimed six
horses earning $29,000, with a $7,000 loss.
Trainer Rothblum
claimed three horses earning $13,000, but had a loss of $5,000 for the six
months. Trainer Woodhouse made one good
claim which pulled two bad claims up to the break-even. One other trainer broke even.
The losses and break-even for these claims for
owners are based on the owner paying $1,000 per month in training
expenses. So the earnings, less the
expenses for six months, produce the loss.
Only one trainer, Lopez, shows a
profit—and that is from horses he claimed for himself.
So how do all these negative factors
show any potential for you to make money with claimers? Easy!
The horses which make money for either owners or trainers follow
patterns the statistics don’t show. You must
study the horse’s form and take a personal look at the horses and their races
in order to have the information you need to follow the rules to making money
with claimers.
You cannot violate a single rule!
“That’s tough,” you say.
You bet it is. But not violating a single rule will make you
money, while others who are violating the rules lose money.
Here are the rules:
1. Find performance consistency at a single
claiming level (price). A horse which
wins one in four for another trainer will most likely win
one in four for you.
A horse to be claimed must be
consistent, either in his works or his races.
With two-year-olds, this is especially important since the horse will
not have much form.
Consistency means the horse has
earned money—first through fifth place—in no less than 75 per cent of his
starts. Consistency can also be “on the
board”, meaning first, second, third, or fourth 50 per cent of the time.
No consistency, no claim.
2. A horse may be claimed at his consistency
level, or one level below. He cannot
be claimed
above, or two levels below his consistent price.
As an example, if a horse has been
running consistently on the board, or earning a check at the $6,250 claiming
level, then he should only be claimed for $6,250 or $5,000. A drop below $5,000 means the trainer is
trying to get rid of the horse, rather than just dropping to win. Trainers drop big to sell because they know there
is always someone who thinks he can fix the horse and make him better. You know it can’t be done, so let someone
else lose money trying.
3. If you must run the horse within 30 days
to keep him qualified to race, and
you must move
him up 25 per cent, then run the horse one step above his
claimed
price. After that, drop him back to the
price at which he was claimed;
or if you want
to make more money, drop him one notch below his claimed price.
If you are not required to “jump” the
horse during the 30 days after claiming,
run the horse
back at the price for which you claimed him.
Keeping the horse at the price
claimed makes all trainers think there is something wrong with the horse, and
they usually won’t touch him for at least two races. A drop one notch below the original claim
almost assures you no one will take the horse until they’ve seen him run at
least three times, even though he is probably winning.
If the horse was consistent at
$6,250, for example, he’ll do well at the $5,000 claiming level. He’ll make you even more money if you race
him for $4,000. And 99 times out of 100,
he won’t be claimed. If he is, you’ll
probably still make a good return on your investment just off the purse money
he has earned.
For everyone else, the challenge of
claiming is moving the horse up the claiming ladder. That’s an ego trip. For you, claiming can be fun, but can’t be
about ego; it is a way to make money—so never move a horse above his
consistency level. (If you get a
super-horse and can move him up it will be very obvious, and the rule becomes
“let your profits run.”)
Someday, if you claim often enough,
you’ll get a horse which can move up dramatically. If you get one, move him up, and immediately
start trying to sell him privately at an inflated price. You will be selling potential again. No horse stays up forever, and you must take
a big profit whenever it is offered if you expect horses to make you money.
4. Never claim a maiden three-year-old.
Once in every 100 claims you hit a
big winner, but most of the time you’ll lose money. The only time you might risk taking a
three-year-old maiden is if he or she has superior breeding and has been
running with stakes company. Suddenly the horse is dropped into the
claiming ranks, appears sound and is cheap.
This horse may produce an income if no attempt is made to “move the
horse up”. Most likely the horse has a
major problem of some kind, and will have a limited racing career. I say stay away from the horse. Taking a three-year-old maiden is just
gambling and a violation of the rules.
But on occasion, if all the factors add up to potential, and you don’t
mind losing the money, drop the claim slip.
Just don’t blame me. You gave in
to temptation.
5. Claim only from trainers who are less than
the best.
Good trainers get all the run a horse
has to offer, so the horses are usually consistent. They should be consistent for you too, but
often it will take time to figure out the horse, and while you are doing it, it
is costing you money. Take horses from
trainers who have large stables, or have poor in-the-money records. If you followed the rules, the horse you take
will be a good one in spite of the trainer, and should be easy to keep going on
a consistent money-making level.
6. Claim a horse which doesn’t appear to be
in top physical condition, but is still
consistent.
Don’t take a horse which needs
running bandages to get through a race.
Take a horse which has a poor hair coat or even one which is under
weight. You can’t fix chipped bones or
torn tendons, but you can easily and inexpensively fix teeth, deworm and feed
adequately.
Even though you know you can improve
the physical condition of the horse, continue to run at, or below, the original
claiming price.
7. Never claim from the lowest claiming price
offered at the racing meet. If the
bottom
claim is $3,000,
the lowest claim you should make is $4,000.
Once a horse is
at the bottom,
there is no place left to go. You cannot
find an easier racing level.
The only exception to this rule applies
to two-year-old maidens. The bottom for
a
two-year-old
is usually at least two steps higher than it is for three-year-olds.
8. Never claim a horse you know has an
injury.
9. You cannot move your horse to a higher
claiming level until he has won for you
at the
claimed-for price at least twice.
If you claim a consistent $6,250
horse for $5,000, run the horse back for $5,000. If you are required to run at a 25 percent
jump, then do it once, and get back to the $5,000 level, or even better, to the
$4,000 level. This should assure you of
at least a paycheck. (If you claim for
$5,000, run for $4,000, win the purse, but lose the horse, you probably make no
less than $1,000 profit considering the winner’s share should be $2,000 or
more.) If you don’t win and don’t lose
the horse, any income helps cover training costs until the next race, which the horse will most likely
win—if you have been following all the rules.
Once the horse wins twice, you can jump him one claiming level. If the horse is getting paychecks, and is
claimed on the first or second win, I guarantee you’ll be making money.
Once the horse has won twice, move
him up one level and keep him there for four races. He should win one in four. If he does, fine; if he doesn’t, drop him to
the original level. You can jump the
horse again if he stays in the money consistently and wins twice again for you
at that level.
Make no excuses for the horse’s
performance. If you run the horse five
times at the claimed-for level and he doesn’t earn money at least four times
(sometimes bad racing luck is a fact—things happen, but are not an excuse),
drop the horse one level and try him five more times. He should earn four out of five times, or he
gets dropped. He cannot move up until he
wins two races at that level. If there
is no lower level at the track at which he is racing, find a weaker racing
program and send the horse there.
These rules apply as long as the
horse stays sound. If he has a physical
problem, decisions will have to be made.
Getting sentimental about a race
horse or fearing he’ll be claimed will cost you money. You cannot make money with a horse if he
isn’t earning.
Of all the ways to make money with
horses, claiming is the toughest. But
you can do it, if you don’t violate the rules.